Edition 9 - March 2004

It’s a New Game

Imagine what it must have been like when someone threw the first pass in football. Before that everyone played football the same way, grinding out yardage through toughness and brute force on the ground. It was no coincidence that teeth were probably a rarity among old time football players. The skill and finesse required by the forward pass changed the game forever. Those that tried to play the new game with the old rules got hammered.

Industry Week/Manufacturing Performance Institute’s 2003 Census of Manufacturing contained some unsettling statistics on American Manufacturers. It rated almost 1000 companies last year across all industries on a variety of areas including growth, employment, IT spending, cost of goods as a percentage of sales, and revenue per employee. Good information to know as you try to answer the ongoing question, “How am I doing?” Not so good, according to Patricia Panchak, editor of Industry Week, who says indications are that senior management is failing to lead.

Some areas the survey covered provide more detail on this. The median return on invested capital is 13%, the average inventory turns is 8, the most popular manufacturing initiative is lean (35%) closely followed by TQM (14%), Cost of Sales (COS) averages 70% of revenue, and labor averages 20% of the median COS.

But, let’s dig a little deeper. 71% of the companies said they had a manufacturing initiative (there’s no clue what the other 29% are doing) yet the average reduction in COS as a result of their initiatives was less than 7%. While the survey doesn’t indicate how long it took to achieve this reduction, the average revenue gain for 2003 was zero, with nearly 14% of the respondents seeing their revenue drop by 11% or more. If you assume that revenue drops were caused by price reductions, in a number of cases savings from COS reductions didn’t offset price decreases.

Digging still deeper, the survey reveals the top two concerns of manufacturers are 1) pricing pressure from customers and 2) foreign competition. Yet 81% had made either no or little progress in supplier integration and over 80% were no further along integrating with their customers. Instead, over 73% of the companies felt the government was doing an “abysmal or poor” job protecting American manufacturing interests.

Folks, the game has changed. American manufacturers no longer enjoy a quality advantage (remember when “Made in China” had the same ring as “Made in Japan” did 30 years ago.) American manufacturers no longer have a clear productivity advantage; management or technical skills advantage; or cost advantage. It’s not the government’s fault, it’s ours. Domestic manufacturers’ only advantage is proximity to the largest market in the world.

In a lot of cases outsourcing makes sense, both financially and strategically, as long as it allows a company to leverage core differentiators. However, it’s proving too easy for management to move jobs overseas to save on labor. Meanwhile inventory turns remain low and the COS improvements are barely keeping up with price decreases demanded by customers. In some cases, outsourcing may even dilute a business’s ability to use speed-to-market and customer responsiveness as differentiators. When that happens, it opens the door for foreign competition to take even more market share.

Increasing ROIC and sustaining those increases over the long term are primary challenges of senior management. It can be done if customers and suppliers are integrated to form a synchronized, competitive supply chain focused on supplying customers what they want, when they want it. Increasing the speed of transactions and reducing the amount of inventory can have a great impact on ROIC too. Using a synchronized supply chain might mean being able to do it at a price the customer is willing to pay and still make a profit.

It’s a new game. Play with new rules: A fully integrated supply chain with synchronized Lean processes. You’ll be a winner.


 
 
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